Per den 26 juni uppges läget vara följande:Källor hänvisar till en topphemlig utvärdering (vars existens bekräftas av Vita Husets pressekreterare) av Defence Intelligence Agency som bedömer att kärnmaterial kan ha flyttats och kanske inte förstörts i större omfattning:
”Citing four unnamed people familiar with the early assessment, CNN was first to report that Saturday’s bombings did not destroy the core components of Iran’s nuclear programme, likely setting it back by only a few months.
Other outlets subsequently confirmed the report, similarly citing unnamed officials because the intelligence assessment is still classified.
The strikes appear to have collapsed the entrances to the facilities, but Iran’s nuclear facilities are housed deep underground in the sides of mountains, beneath layers of concrete.
The Defence Intelligence Agency assessment reportedly states that little nuclear material is believed to have been destroyed.”
Administrationen vidhåller att att ”Obliteration” (utplåning) är en korrekt term.
(Källa Huffington Post)
Institute for Science and International security gör följande sammanfattande bedömning:
”Overall, Israel’s and U.S. attacks have effectively destroyed Iran’s centrifuge enrichment program. It will be a long time before Iran comes anywhere near the capability it had before the attack. That being said, there are residuals such as stocks of 60 percent, 20 percent, and 3-5 percent enriched uranium and the centrifuges manufactured but not yet installed at Natanz or Fordow. These non-destroyed parts pose a threat as they can be used in the future to produce weapon-grade uranium.
Complicating any effort to turn weapon-grade uranium into nuclear explosives have been extensive attacks against Iran’s facilities and personnel to make the nuclear weapon itself. Its infrastructure to build the nuclear weapon has been severely damaged. The time Iran would need to build even a non-missile deliverable nuclear weapon has increased significantly.”
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Bedömning per 24 juni:

Trump’s ”Complete Obliteration” ClaimsPresident Trump has repeatedly claimed that U.S. airstrikes on June 21, 2025, ”completely and totally obliterated” Iran’s nuclear facilities. However, intelligence assessments and expert analysis suggest the situation is far more complex than Trump’s definitive statements indicate.
Following the strikes on three major Iranian nuclear sites—Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan—Trump posted on Truth Social that ”Monumental Damage was done to all Nuclear sites in Iran, as shown by satellite images. Obliteration is an accurate term!”. He further emphasized that ”the most substantial damage occurred deep underground”.
Military Assessment of Strike EffectivenessJoint Chiefs of Staff Chairman General Dan Caine provided a more cautious assessment during Pentagon briefings, stating that ”Initial battle damage assessments indicate that all three sites sustained extremely severe damage and destruction,” while notably avoiding Trump’s term ”obliteration”. Caine emphasized that ”Final assessments of battle damage will take time”.
The strikes involved significant military resources, including seven B-2 bombers, over two dozen Tomahawk cruise missiles, and the first operational use of the GBU-57 Massive Ordinance Penetrator (MOP) bunker-busting bombs4. Fourteen MOPs were dropped on two targets, demonstrating the scale of the operation.
Evidence of Pre-Strike Uranium RelocationMultiple intelligence sources and satellite imagery provide compelling evidence that Iran may have successfully relocated its uranium stockpile before the attacks. Satellite images from defense contractor Maxar Technologies captured more than a dozen cargo trucks positioned outside the Fordow nuclear facility’s tunnel entrance on Thursday and Friday, just days before the strikes.
The images showed 16 cargo trucks on the access road to Fordow’s tunnel entrance on Thursday, with most trucks moving approximately half a mile away by Friday. Additional trucks and bulldozers were observed near the main entrance by Friday.
IAEA Director’s AssessmentInternational Atomic Energy Agency Director General Rafael Grossi has been explicit about Iran’s likely relocation efforts. He told The New York Times that he believed Iran had moved much of its stockpile of enriched nuclear fuel. When asked directly if the fuel stockpile had been relocated, Grossi confirmed, ”I do”.
Grossi revealed that his UN inspection teams last observed the uranium fuel approximately one week before the strikes7. He also disclosed that Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi had written to him on June 13, stating that Iran would implement ”special measures to safeguard nuclear equipment and materials”.
The Missing 400 Kilograms of Enriched UraniumIntelligence officials from both the U.S. and Israel have confirmed that Iran likely moved approximately 400 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60 percent purity from the targeted facilities9710. This material was previously stored at Isfahan and represents the bulk of Iran’s near-weapons-grade uranium stockpile.
The IAEA had assessed that Iran possessed over 400 kilograms of 60% enriched uranium as of May 2025, representing a nearly 50% increase in just three months. This enrichment level is significantly above civilian needs and represents approximately 90% of the effort required to reach weapons-grade 90% enrichment.
Nuclear Weapons Potential AssessmentExpert analysis confirms that the relocated uranium stockpile could indeed yield multiple nuclear warheads. The IAEA and independent analysts assess that Iran’s 400+ kilogram stockpile of 60% enriched uranium is sufficient for approximately nine to ten nuclear weapons if further enriched.
According to nuclear proliferation experts, approximately 42 kilograms of 60% enriched uranium represents enough material for one nuclear weapon. The Institute for Science and International Security notes that 60% enriched uranium is sufficient for relatively compact nuclear explosives without requiring further enrichment to 90%.
Iran has been producing highly enriched uranium at a rate equivalent to roughly one nuclear weapon per month over recent months. The European troika (France, Germany, and the United Kingdom) told the IAEA Board of Governors that Iran could be capable of producing ”more than nine” bombs with its current stockpile.
Current Status and ImplicationsThe whereabouts of Iran’s relocated uranium remain unknown to U.S. intelligence officials. Vice President JD Vance acknowledged this intelligence gap, stating that the current location of the uranium stockpile is ”unknown” and represents an ongoing concern.
While the strikes appear to have significantly damaged Iran’s enrichment infrastructure, experts warn that the missing uranium stockpile presents a critical proliferation risk. The material could theoretically be enriched to weapons-grade levels at alternative facilities or through Iran’s reserve centrifuge capacity.
Preliminary assessmentTrump’s claims of ”complete obliteration” of Iran’s nuclear capabilities appear to be overstated based on available intelligence. While the strikes caused significant damage to enrichment facilities, the reportedly successful pre-strike relocation of approximately 400 kilograms of near-weapons-grade uranium would mean Iran retaining the fissile material necessary for multiple nuclear weapons. The actual effectiveness of the operation remains uncertain pending full damage assessments and the location of the missing uranium stockpile.